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Qualification Scenarios: Who Advances or Bows Out on August 30?

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The FIBA Basketball World Cup 2023 has been a stage of intense drama, and the excitement is set to escalate with decisive matches looming in Groups B, C, F, and G.

Among these groups, seven teams – Canada, Germany, Latvia, Lithuania, Montenegro, Spain, and the USA – have already secured their spots in the Second Round on Sunday. Simultaneously, seven teams have faced elimination from the title chase.

Let’s dive into the scenarios within these groups as we approach August 30. We’ve crunched the numbers so you don’t have to!

GROUP B
4/6 games completed

Serbia (SRB):

Advances to Second Round if:
SRB defeats SSD
SRB loses to SSD and CHN defeats PUR
SRB loses to SSD by 28 points or fewer and PUR defeats CHN
Puerto Rico (PUR):

Advances to Second Round if:
PUR defeats CHN and SRB defeats SSD
PUR defeats CHN and SSD defeats SRB by 30 points or more
South Sudan (SSD):

Advances to Second Round if:
SSD defeats SRB
SSD loses to SRB and CHN defeats PUR by 34 points or fewer

China (CHN):

Advances to Second Round if:
CHN defeats PUR by 36 points or more and SRB defeats SSD

GROUP C
4/6 games completed

(1) Already Qualified:

USA
Jordan (will finish fourth in the group)
Greece (GRE) and New Zealand (NZL):

The winner of GRE vs. NZL qualifies for the Second Round and finishes second in the group.
The loser of GRE vs. NZL is eliminated and finishes third in the group.

GROUP F
4/6 games completed

Slovenia (SLO):

Eliminated if:
SLO loses to CPV by 24 points or more and GEO defeats VEN
Advances to the Second Round in all other scenarios.
Cape Verde (CPV):

Advances to Second Round if:
CPV defeats SLO and VEN defeats GEO
CPV defeats SLO by 24 points or more and GEO defeats VEN
Georgia (GEO):

Advances to Second Round if:
GEO defeats VEN
GEO loses to VEN by 15 points or fewer and SLO defeats CPV
Venezuela (VEN):

Advances to Second Round if:
VEN defeats GEO by 16 points or more and SLO defeats CPV
Eliminated in all other scenarios.

GROUP G
4/6 games completed

(1) Already Qualified:

Spain
Iran (will finish fourth in the group)
Brazil (BRA) and Cote d’Ivoire (CIV):

The winner of BRA vs. CIV qualifies for the Second Round and finishes second in the group.
The loser of BRA vs. CIV is eliminated and finishes third in the group.
DISCLAIMER: The above analysis aims to enhance the fan experience and is not intended as official advice or binding information for the FIBA Basketball World Cup 2023 in a competitive context.

Eric

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